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Earthworm Jim

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  1. There won't be cruises to St. Maarten or anywhere else if conditions are anything like they are now, creating the long waits for results. Put another way, if things have improved enough to allow cruises, St. Maarten will no longer be requiring Covid tests within 72 hours and wait times for Covid tests results will be much shorter anyway. Until the many hurdles such as this are surmounted, we won't be cruising again. It's not as if Carnival would sail to St. Maarten if they knew no one was going to be able to get off when they get there. So it's not really something you need to worry about. It's something Carnival needs to worry about.
  2. So you suspect the Curacao Ports Authority post that Inspiration is there "to unload heavy equipment" is erroneous? Assuming the rumors of Fantasy being scrapped in Turkey are accurate, and Inspiration currently being in the same port doing the same thing, I'd say the only hope is that some of that heavy equipment is being transferred to Inspiration rather than unloading equipment as stated. Well, I guess that could include unloading also. Say some piece of heavy equipment still works fine on the Fantasy but is worn out on the Inspiration. It's conceivable that could be unloading those identical pieces of equipment from each ship, and then the Fantasy's whatzit will now be reloaded and installed on the Inspiration. (Note that such superficially reasonable speculation on my part might be ridiculous to anyone who knows anything about ships, since I don't)
  3. That's the mortality rate since the pandemic began, not a current rate. Though it's a hard number to pin down. I think treatment is better now than it was in the spring, resulting in a lower death rate currently than the overall rate. On the other hand, when you just divide the number of deaths by the total cases, that doesn't take into account that the more recent cases haven't had it long enough to be fatal yet. It's not uncommon for it to take a month or more to kill it's victims. Incidentally, when you are quoting a percent, it's per 100, not per 100,000.
  4. Out of around 100 ships, so a little under 13% of their fleet. That's a pretty big hit. Of course, the Carnival line might lose a lower (or greater) percentage of ships than the Corp. as a whole. And probably a lower than 13% loss of total passenger berths, because it's more likely the older, smaller ships will be the ones to go.
  5. Did they mean the ships will sail at reduced capacity (fewer people per ship), or that the cruise line will have less capacity (fewer ships sailing)? I assume the former, but without seeing the source material it's hard to say for sure.
  6. Way too soon to tell. I suspect there will be a vaccine, but how long it will be effective is anyone's guess.
  7. $15 onboard credit? Wow, who could pass on that?
  8. If you tend to buy the beverage package, Princess might be worth looking at. I had a Breeze 8 day at the end of February which worked out to $118 a day. (I'm quoting the cruise line websites for prices here, balconies in both cases). A current Caribbean Princess 7 day sailing the same date with their Princess Plus package - Gratuities, Beverage Package, and WiFi - works out to be $134 per day after you subtract out what your saving on grats so it's an apples to apples comparison with Carnival. $16 a day for a beverage package and wifi looks like a good deal even if you aren't that big of a drinker.
  9. That's not entirely true, since the Sunrise will be sailing from Port Everglades (at least in February 2021, when I looked). But those are 5 day cruises. Either way, watching John Heald's video he doesn't say why they are clearing out of Ft. Lauderdale, other than to say something vague about maximizing the value of their greatest asset, their ships. I suspect, reading between the lines about the maximizing their assets bit, that there is some reason that it costs Carnival more money to sail from Port Everglades than from either Port Canaveral or the Port of Miami.
  10. But you have to take into account the politics in each of those states. New York and California have been pretty cautious, while Florida has been anxious to return to normal. Any of them would require CDC approval of course, but even with that approval I could see New York holding back and Florida going ahead regardless of the current infection numbers. And the infection numbers could be totally different by the end of the year. Maybe New York will be bad again by then, who knows?
  11. Even that comes with worries though. Is NCL selling those cruises now only because they desperately need some money coming in? A booked cruise on a line that goes into bankruptcy won't bring you any further joy. (Not that I know anything much about NCL's financial standing, or am saying they are likely to go into bankruptcy. Just that it's the kind of thing I worry about with any of the cruise lines.)
  12. True, but there was also a World War going on in 1918, and no doubt soldiers still returning home into 1919. So there was considerably more international travel those years than was the norm for that era.
  13. I wouldn't read too much into it. They are just throwing tentative dates out there as a future point to aim for, but it's too far out to judge whether they'll actually be viable dates or not. Even if they do come to pass, it's certainly plausible that one line might get approval for their Covid plan from the CDC before another line, or one line might take more time to get the needed crew back. Anything like that could easily account on a 2 week difference between when lines eventually start cruises again.
  14. Any speculation on why they might be selling the recently rebuilt Sunrise? They invested all that money modernizing it, it seems odd that ship would be one to go. Unless they are hoping to get a good price for it and raise some revenue, which is why they are selling a recently rebuilt, and thus presumably more desirable, ship? Because it might sell for more? That's all I can think of.
  15. Using Nassau as an example, the average daily high in early December is 80, dropping down to an average high of 77 by late January. Which might vary by a few degrees even on a typical day, and more than a few degrees on an atypical day. That's reasonably warm, but if it was a breezy day in the mid-70s it might not feel quite warm enough for swimming. https://weather.com/weather/monthly/l/2de5e04306fedaddc95277d99edf6cb7da5d80a3a77b01ccbd5074db1eb06023 Water temps might range from as high as 78 to as low as 72, according to this: https://www.bahamas.com/faq/average-water-temps
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