Toranut97 Posted March 2, 2020 #1 Share Posted March 2, 2020 This morning I attended a lecture regarding Coronavirus with Dr. James Dobbins, epidemiologist with the CDC. It was enlightening. To be unfairly brief about it, he felt the virus will spread a good deal more, but that it will begin to subside with global response and warmer weather. I am posting because he recommended a website from Johns Hopkins to monitor the spread of the virus and its imoact. Thought I would share the link. Donna Real time map COVID -19 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Petoonya Posted March 2, 2020 #2 Share Posted March 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Toranut97 said: Thought I would share the link. Thank you Donna. Encouraging news indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drkitkat123 Posted March 2, 2020 #3 Share Posted March 2, 2020 Thanks but "warmer weather"? Half the world is going into winter. How does that even make sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d9704011 Posted March 2, 2020 #4 Share Posted March 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, drkitkat123 said: Thanks but "warmer weather"? Half the world is going into winter. How does that even make sense? Well, I guess you could look at the current distribution of the illness and the number of people who live in the northern hemisphere and think of things from that perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parapara Posted March 2, 2020 #5 Share Posted March 2, 2020 I guess it makes some sense for two reasons. Half the world, which you and I live in, doesn’t have half the world’s population and secondly most cases are in the Northern Hemisphere to date. So, IF, it can be contained and cases drop in the Northern Hemisphere with the onset of warmer weather, it has to be good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bbwex Posted March 3, 2020 #6 Share Posted March 3, 2020 I think they are hoping that, like the flu, Covid-19 will diminish with warmer weather (in the north). It could obviously get more widespread in the winter parts of the southern latitudes. Health people in the U.S., China, and other places where it has been widespread are, I think, talking about the lessening of spread once the weather gets warmer. Of course, if it isn't like the flu, then that bet is off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fetchpeople Posted March 3, 2020 #7 Share Posted March 3, 2020 I believe that the web site listed below is more complete as well as having frequent updates and details on new cases, etc. Just be sure to scroll down to review all the data www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toranut97 Posted March 3, 2020 Author #8 Share Posted March 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, Fetchpeople said: I believe that the web site listed below is more complete as well as having frequent updates and details on new cases, etc. Just be sure to scroll down to review all the data www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Thank you. Similar information in a different layout. The Johns Hopkins site is updated continually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toranut97 Posted March 3, 2020 Author #9 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 hour ago, bbwex said: I think they are hoping that, like the flu, Covid-19 will diminish with warmer weather (in the north). It could obviously get more widespread in the winter parts of the southern latitudes. Health people in the U.S., China, and other places where it has been widespread are, I think, talking about the lessening of spread once the weather gets warmer. Of course, if it isn't like the flu, then that bet is off. Yes. And I suspect our speaker was trying to alleviate local anxiety. When asked why warmer weather would matter, he explained that the colder weather lead to the lungs being drier and absorbing the infections more readily. Dr. Dobbins drew comparisons to the SARS outbreak as well as the 2009 Mexican pandemic. Understanding the origins and evolution of the diseases was engrossing. This also taught about what does - and doesn’t - help to control or slow down the spread. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldubs Posted March 3, 2020 #10 Share Posted March 3, 2020 5 hours ago, Toranut97 said: This morning I attended a lecture regarding Coronavirus with Dr. James Dobbins, epidemiologist with the CDC. It was enlightening. To be unfairly brief about it, he felt the virus will spread a good deal more, but that it will begin to subside with global response and warmer weather. I am posting because he recommended a website from Johns Hopkins to monitor the spread of the virus and its imoact. Thought I would share the link. Donna Real time map COVID -19 Thank you for sharing this.👍 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaterView2 Posted March 4, 2020 #11 Share Posted March 4, 2020 I really don’t understand the warmer weather issue- there were cases in Jan.-Feb in Singapore, Thailand, Australia, Malaysia, all warm weather climates. In the USA there are cases in California which is not cold in the coastal areas. While the report is correct about the lungs being more susceptible in cold weather I doubt if warm weather will be a magic bullet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulchili Posted March 5, 2020 #12 Share Posted March 5, 2020 I believe this is one of the most if not the most informative articles I have read on the subject: https://www.sciencenews.org/article/coronavirus-questions-covid19-symptoms-deaths-spread#deadly 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pedro22 Posted March 9, 2020 #13 Share Posted March 9, 2020 On 3/2/2020 at 3:46 PM, drkitkat123 said: Thanks but "warmer weather"? Half the world is going into winter. How does that even make sense? I live in Southern California on the coast and sometimes in the desert (Palm Springs) and there are cases there and one admitted to the hospital in Rancho Mirage. So I'm not too sure given how hot it's been if the warm weather will have the same impact on Wuhan Flu as it does on other coronaviruses like the common cold or influenza. Dr. Anthony Faucci on CNN last night said they do not know enough about this virus to claim that it will subside in warm weather and that is an assumption that might not prove true for the Wuhan Flu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulchili Posted March 9, 2020 #14 Share Posted March 9, 2020 44 minutes ago, Pedro22 said: So I'm not too sure given how hot it's been if the warm weather will have the same impact on Wuhan Flu as it does on other coronaviruses like the common cold or influenza If it did there would have been no corona in Singapore where it’s always hot and humid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buggins0402 Posted March 9, 2020 #15 Share Posted March 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Paulchili said: If it did there would have been no corona in Singapore where it’s always hot and humid. Was there much community spread there? I thought most was imported, but I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulchili Posted March 10, 2020 #16 Share Posted March 10, 2020 52 minutes ago, buggins0402 said: Was there much community spread there? I thought most was imported, but I could be wrong. You may well be right but the credit really goes to the Singapore government and health authorities for being prepared and handling it promptly - this is what you would expect in a place that I think is cleaner even than Switzerland and were it's against the law to chew gum 😀 and where you never have to worry about eating food from street vendors. Have they not been prepared and handled it promptly I would assume that there would be more community spread like in all other places. In other words, I don't think that it was the heat that stopped the community spread - at least IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tocruiseguy Posted March 10, 2020 #17 Share Posted March 10, 2020 In Italy the climb in infections and even worse the number of deaths is disconcerting. The death rate appears to be higher than China's, not sure how this spiralled out of control so quickly in that country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buggins0402 Posted March 10, 2020 #18 Share Posted March 10, 2020 58 minutes ago, Paulchili said: You may well be right but the credit really goes to the Singapore government and health authorities for being prepared and handling it promptly - this is what you would expect in a place that I think is cleaner even than Switzerland and were it's against the law to chew gum 😀 and where you never have to worry about eating food from street vendors. Have they not been prepared and handled it promptly I would assume that there would be more community spread like in all other places. In other words, I don't think that it was the heat that stopped the community spread - at least IMO. Totally agree. We don’t know what stopped the spread in Singapore. I wish we had done more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldubs Posted March 10, 2020 #19 Share Posted March 10, 2020 3 hours ago, Paulchili said: You may well be right but the credit really goes to the Singapore government and health authorities for being prepared and handling it promptly - this is what you would expect in a place that I think is cleaner even than Switzerland and were it's against the law to chew gum 😀 and where you never have to worry about eating food from street vendors. Have they not been prepared and handled it promptly I would assume that there would be more community spread like in all other places. In other words, I don't think that it was the heat that stopped the community spread - at least IMO. And, the citizens of Singapore too, IMO. We were there when this thing busted wide open. The response happened fast and everyone seemed to be pulling the same direction. Pride is evident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulchili Posted March 10, 2020 #20 Share Posted March 10, 2020 (edited) 14 minutes ago, ldubs said: And, the citizens of Singapore too, IMO. We were there when this thing busted wide open. The response happened fast and everyone seemed to be pulling the same direction. Pride is evident. Agree. Pride is part of it but mostly it’s a population that has been taught over the years to obey the strict laws, or else. They have learned that lesson well and it leads to a clean, smoothly functioning and prospering city state. It’s a great place to visit (not too sure about living there though 😃) Edited March 10, 2020 by Paulchili 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldubs Posted March 10, 2020 #21 Share Posted March 10, 2020 39 minutes ago, Paulchili said: Agree. Pride is part of it but mostly it’s a population that has been taught over the years to obey the strict laws, or else. They have learned that lesson well and it leads to a clean, smoothly functioning and prospering city state. It’s a great place to visit (not too sure about living there though 😃) The standard of living is pretty high and quality of life too. But, I think I'll stay put. 😀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulchili Posted March 10, 2020 #22 Share Posted March 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, ldubs said: The standard of living is pretty high and quality of life too. But, I think I'll stay put. 😀 Ditto 😃 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buggins0402 Posted March 10, 2020 #23 Share Posted March 10, 2020 13 hours ago, Paulchili said: You may well be right but the credit really goes to the Singapore government and health authorities for being prepared and handling it promptly - this is what you would expect in a place that I think is cleaner even than Switzerland and were it's against the law to chew gum 😀 and where you never have to worry about eating food from street vendors. Have they not been prepared and handled it promptly I would assume that there would be more community spread like in all other places. In other words, I don't think that it was the heat that stopped the community spread - at least IMO. Some good news.....hope they are right. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3550308 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulchili Posted March 10, 2020 #24 Share Posted March 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, buggins0402 said: Some good news.....hope they are right. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3550308 Very interesting indeed - I too hope that they are right. Thanks 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buggins0402 Posted March 10, 2020 #25 Share Posted March 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, Paulchili said: Very interesting indeed - I too hope that they are right. Thanks 🙂 I’m also hoping the groundhog was right about an early spring the Northern Hemisphere and a very mild winter in the Southern (this paper is correct.)😀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now