TVMet Posted August 16, 2008 #1 Share Posted August 16, 2008 Official forecast is for a tropical storm, but a 30% chance of a hurricane. http://www.baynews9.com/images/wx/HURRICANE1.JPG?21 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 800 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS HISPANIOLA... AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM... WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 335 MILES...540 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER EASTERN CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SHIP OBERVATIONS AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURING MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY IS OVER HISPANIOLA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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