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Can I expect to make Club Royal prime with this level/type of play on Craps on a 7N cruise?


binro01
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When on land, I'm a craps player. I usually play a $10.00 Pass Line on Come out then once a point is established I place 2 numbers ($10.00/$12.00) insides first, then work outwards five being priority, I also make a $10.00 field bet to cover more numbers after the point.

So I'm risking on average $42.00-$44.00 once a point is established. If the field hits, I move that $10.00 and it's winning to cover 2 more numbers. (if double 2 / 12 I cover all the numbers). I finally cover the last number if a double field does not happen, with my first place hit after the field covers. 

I then operate a collect and press on each number individually. The press is a $10/$12 press. And that number is now considered not paid for in my collect and press model. Basically a hybrid Iron Cross collect and press.

I do buy the outside 4/10 at multiples of 20 and the 5/9 at 40.00 if I ever get there.

 

A Craps pit boss I know said this betting style usually rates me at a C player with a house advantage of 5%. The theoretical loss on this play over an hour is around $190.00 according to him.

 

In general, I can counter this loss level with one good roll in 10 shooters. So I usually limit myself to those 10 shooters per session and re-evaluate to continue.

 

Sometimes my bank roll of $500.00 can be gone in 3 hours with a string of very bad luck, but If I capture luck, I can easily play for 2 hours a night for 5-7 nights and still walk out a winner.  In general, on average I can play around 7-8 hours before blowing the whole bankroll. Craps is a negative expectation game, but I love playing it for those hot streaks that do come.

If I get on a semi-lucky streak where I can play on the 500.00 over say 2 hours a night for 7 nights, Im calculating my theoretical loss to be a little over $2,500.00 but in order to play my 500.00 for that long I would have to hit a few good rolls and just cycle the money back to the casino over time.

Im hoping the average case scenario I can accrue 1300 - 1500 points, but If I do get lucky I might be able to hit the 2500.00 prime level. 

Any craps players out there that might be able to tell me if I'm being reasonable or way way off base. 

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It is not likely.  They give very little credit for table play. My husband played virtually all day any time the casino was open and earned a ridiculously low amount of points. As soon as he switched to slots, the points started to add up

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