Vigorous Tropical Wave

[Patdmoose]

This morning's email update from the National Hurricane Center:

 

000

ABNT20 KNHC 120912

TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

530 AM EDT SUN AUG 12 2007

 

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

 

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS

PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR JAMAICA...THE

CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND CUBA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF

ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AT IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE

YUCATAN PENINSULA AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

 

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC

OCEAN ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE

ISLANDS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF

THIS SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT

DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

$$

FORECASTER RHOME

 

The second paragraph deserves watching. It is too early to know if and when this system will develop, and where it might head, but if you are like us and sailing next week, then keep an eye on it.

[Cruzfan34]

Well, our weather man is scaring the hell out of us here in Louisiana. They keep showing the "long range computer models" and it insists that there will be a major hurricane in the Gulf by August 23. They've been talking about it for 2 days. Very nice. I'm having flashbacks of Hurricane Rita. We had to leave home for 5 days. I lost 5 pounds from the stress and I can't afford to lose weight!!

I hate this time of year.

[lysolqn]

Cruzfan34, I wouldn't worry too much this far out. Weathermen just l-o-v-e to latch on to even remotely possible weather events; they live for the drama!

 

We're boarding Crown Princess in NY on Sunday (heading to Grand Turk, San Juan, St. Tomas and Bermuda) and sure hope the TD in the far eastern Atlantic will not become problematic. With any luck it will make a hard right toward the north Atlantic and end up in that great hurricane graveyard. Here's hoping!

[Cruzfan34]

Cruzfan34, I wouldn't worry too much this far out. Weathermen just l-o-v-e to latch on to even remotely possible weather events; they live for the drama!

 

We're boarding Crown Princess in NY on Sunday (heading to Grand Turk, San Juan, St. Tomas and Bermuda) and sure hope the TD in the far eastern Atlantic will not become problematic. With any luck it will make a hard right toward the north Atlantic and end up in that great hurricane graveyard. Here's hoping!

 

 

Let's hope you're right. The water is so warm in the Gulf, any hurricane that enters will only be fueled even more by it.