Because I don't drink (or enjoy caviar), I generally avoid cruise lines that include unlimited high dollar alcohol in the price. I like smaller ships sometimes. For the right itinerary, I might be willing to pay for what I won't use.
Avoiding risk is a basic human characteristic. I wouldn't risk trying Carnival. I would risk trying Oceania. But I might be missing out on the far superior Carnival experience? I'll take that risk.
Can you imagine if everyone on the ship compared notes on what they paid? Mayhem would ensue. Just pay what you think is reasonable and don't look back.
This has always been the rule as you point out. After Covid, apparently there was a bit more flexibility as Royal was trying to fill ships. But that flexibility is now over and they have gone back to the old rule.
Life is full of risk. Prices going down is a risk. Prices going up is a risk. Ships being sold out if you wait is a risk. Just book your cruise and don’t check the prices every day.
AQ is way overpriced for what you get. Blu is fine. But the Specialties are better. Thermal spa is nice. But weekly pass is not that much. On the bidding process, I will pay $150-200 pp for Aqua.
I can't justify paying three times the price for a Sky Suite over a veranda. I don't hang out at the pool so the Retreat has no interest to me. I don't drink alcohol so an included drink package is not interesting. I'm sure additional space and Luminae are great. But not worth three times the price. More power to anyone who can afford the suite prices.
This policy is why I prefer Oceania. Once Oceania excursions open, they open for everyone. I don't know why Oceania is able to procure sufficient excursion space for all of its guests while Viking cannot.
Paying 18-12 months in advance is absurd. But they seem to be able to get away with it. If a company goes bankrupt, I can get my money back from my credit card if it was paid within a year. When I pay 18 months in advance, I risk everything being lost.