Isaias - Atlantic - July 30

[PelicanBill]

Storm surge estimates:

[PelicanBill]

Latest storm surge model shows 6-8 feet near Charleston SC.  That's never good. Charleston is barely above sea level.

[PelicanBill]

All Florida and SC's watches and warnings. Hurricane warnings extend far inland!

[PelicanBill]

Good morning weather fans.  Well Isiais is considerably weaker overnight and now forecast to be only a tropical storm with winds in the 60+ Mph area.  I am watch this. however... when storms cross the gulf stream warm water.... they tend to gain some strength.  You can see it in the IR loop.

[PelicanBill]

And then there's this: the path is now considerably more west than before, so it's over land a lot of the way up the coast, but they are still forecasting tropical storm strength all the way to the northeast.  I can't help but wonder if it will be much weaker as it crosses NC, if it indeed travels this path.

[PelicanBill]

Weak storms are more prone to wobbles from land and atmosphere interaction. We saw that westward wobble overnight... today a northward wobble that helps keep the Florida coast to a much lesser impact.

[PelicanBill]

No change in path, has strengthened slightly, to 70mph winds at center (just short of hurricane), but offshore.

Watches and warnings extended up the coast.

[PelicanBill]

Still flirting with the strength boundary for Hurricane and forecast to make it once again for a short time as it makes landfall near the SC/NC border.  Si we have hurricane warnings back up for some of the coast.  A tropical storm at the US/Canada border in Maine?  How about that.  I remember a similar storm closing a lot of the Appalachian and other trails some years back. That would be back timing for all the northbound hikers this year.

[PelicanBill]

Rainfall prediction.  The DC-Baltimore areas are looking to get some serious flooding.

[PelicanBill]

Still strong and hammering NC, MD and Virginia, now moving toward NJ and eastern PA. A huge area of moisture ahead of it to be drawn in as it travels north-northeast.

Should begin to weaken but a lot of wind and rain. Tornadoes and a lot of power outages.

 

[geocruiser]

It looks scary on the radar.  There have been twisters too.  Thinking about my family in NYC.

[PelicanBill]

Yikes

[TheOldBear]

I'm on Long Island's south shore - about 65 miles east of the Brooklyn Cruise Terminal.

 

The one rain band impacting the area lasted about half an hour, and skies cleared about 20 minutes ago. Still quite a bit of gusty wind, and lots of tree limbs down. Local fire department has the road closed where a tree is being held up only by Verizon phone lines.

[PelicanBill]

21 minutes ago, TheOldBear said:

I'm on Long Island's south shore - about 65 miles east of the Brooklyn Cruise Terminal.

 

The one rain band impacting the area lasted about half an hour, and skies cleared about 20 minutes ago. Still quite a bit of gusty wind, and lots of tree limbs down. Local fire department has the road closed where a tree is being held up only by Verizon phone lines.

Yikes that's a good ways out too. I was born in Smithtown/Ronkomoma.  Stay safe!

[PelicanBill]

Still 65 mph winds!  And near Albany NY of all the crazy things.

[PelicanBill]

Power outages in the wake of Isaias... Most power out in a decade.