PelicanBill Posted August 1, 2020 Author #26 Share Posted August 1, 2020 Storm surge estimates: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 1, 2020 Author #27 Share Posted August 1, 2020 Latest storm surge model shows 6-8 feet near Charleston SC. That's never good. Charleston is barely above sea level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 2, 2020 Author #28 Share Posted August 2, 2020 All Florida and SC's watches and warnings. Hurricane warnings extend far inland! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 2, 2020 Author #29 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Good morning weather fans. Well Isiais is considerably weaker overnight and now forecast to be only a tropical storm with winds in the 60+ Mph area. I am watch this. however... when storms cross the gulf stream warm water.... they tend to gain some strength. You can see it in the IR loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 2, 2020 Author #30 Share Posted August 2, 2020 And then there's this: the path is now considerably more west than before, so it's over land a lot of the way up the coast, but they are still forecasting tropical storm strength all the way to the northeast. I can't help but wonder if it will be much weaker as it crosses NC, if it indeed travels this path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 2, 2020 Author #31 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Weak storms are more prone to wobbles from land and atmosphere interaction. We saw that westward wobble overnight... today a northward wobble that helps keep the Florida coast to a much lesser impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 2, 2020 Author #32 Share Posted August 2, 2020 No change in path, has strengthened slightly, to 70mph winds at center (just short of hurricane), but offshore. Watches and warnings extended up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 3, 2020 Author #33 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Still flirting with the strength boundary for Hurricane and forecast to make it once again for a short time as it makes landfall near the SC/NC border. Si we have hurricane warnings back up for some of the coast. A tropical storm at the US/Canada border in Maine? How about that. I remember a similar storm closing a lot of the Appalachian and other trails some years back. That would be back timing for all the northbound hikers this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 3, 2020 Author #34 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Rainfall prediction. The DC-Baltimore areas are looking to get some serious flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 4, 2020 Author #35 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Still strong and hammering NC, MD and Virginia, now moving toward NJ and eastern PA. A huge area of moisture ahead of it to be drawn in as it travels north-northeast. Should begin to weaken but a lot of wind and rain. Tornadoes and a lot of power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geocruiser Posted August 4, 2020 #36 Share Posted August 4, 2020 It looks scary on the radar. There have been twisters too. Thinking about my family in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 4, 2020 Author #37 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheOldBear Posted August 4, 2020 #38 Share Posted August 4, 2020 I'm on Long Island's south shore - about 65 miles east of the Brooklyn Cruise Terminal. The one rain band impacting the area lasted about half an hour, and skies cleared about 20 minutes ago. Still quite a bit of gusty wind, and lots of tree limbs down. Local fire department has the road closed where a tree is being held up only by Verizon phone lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 4, 2020 Author #39 Share Posted August 4, 2020 21 minutes ago, TheOldBear said: I'm on Long Island's south shore - about 65 miles east of the Brooklyn Cruise Terminal. The one rain band impacting the area lasted about half an hour, and skies cleared about 20 minutes ago. Still quite a bit of gusty wind, and lots of tree limbs down. Local fire department has the road closed where a tree is being held up only by Verizon phone lines. Yikes that's a good ways out too. I was born in Smithtown/Ronkomoma. Stay safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 4, 2020 Author #40 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Still 65 mph winds! And near Albany NY of all the crazy things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PelicanBill Posted August 5, 2020 Author #41 Share Posted August 5, 2020 Power outages in the wake of Isaias... Most power out in a decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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