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NCL Shares time to purchase stock is really low


sebastienbo
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For those unfamiliar with the concept:

 

If you purchase 100 shares of NCL, you will receive either $100 or $250 onboard credit for every cruise you take.

 

To provide further information, you can visit this website:

https://www.nclhltd.com/investors/shareholder-benefits

 

Previously, the cost of 100 shares was quite high at $60 per share, totaling $6000.

However, due to the impact of COVID-19, the share price has dropped significantly to $13 per share, amounting to $1300 for 100 shares.

 

This decline in price can be attributed to the lack of income over the past two years and the substantial expenses incurred.

However, based on their projections for 2022 and 2023, NCL is expected to perform exceptionally well.

This quarter marks the final payment for their new ships, indicating that from January onwards, the stock will likely experience a significant increase as their income has consistently grown by 56% each year.

 

Considering these factors, it is reasonable to anticipate that the stock will rebound to $60 per share within two years. 

Just imagine if you were to invest $10,000 at the current low rate and sell it at $60 per share.

You would stand to make $45,000 in just two years.

 

To help you make an informed decision about purchasing stocks, you can refer to their report from November 1st:

https://www.earningswhispers.com/epsdetails/nclh

 

Regardless of the stock's performance, one enticing aspect is that shareholders receive this onboard credit bonus every time they go on a cruise.

 

 

Edited by sebastienbo
typos
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Except they have about twice as many shares outstanding as they did before Covid, so that $60 is more like $30, and they also have multiple billions more in debt to pay off (with ever-increasing interest), so it will likely be many, many years before the stock prices gets back to $60. Regardless, buying 100 shares for the OBC now is a much better deal than it was four years ago.

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6 hours ago, sebastienbo said:

For those unfamiliar with the concept:

 

If you purchase 100 shares of NCL, you will receive either $100 or $250 onboard credit for every cruise you take.

 

To provide further information, you can visit this website:

https://www.nclhltd.com/investors/shareholder-benefits

 

Previously, the cost of 100 shares was quite high at $60 per share, totaling $6000.

However, due to the impact of COVID-19, the share price has dropped significantly to $13 per share, amounting to $1300 for 100 shares.

 

This decline in price can be attributed to the lack of income over the past two years and the substantial expenses incurred.

However, based on their projections for 2022 and 2023, NCL is expected to perform exceptionally well.

This quarter marks the final payment for their new ships, indicating that from January onwards, the stock will likely experience a significant increase as their income has consistently grown by 56% each year.

 

Considering these factors, it is reasonable to anticipate that the stock will rebound to $60 per share within two years. 

Just imagine if you were to invest $10,000 at the current low rate and sell it at $60 per share.

You would stand to make $45,000 in just two years.

 

To help you make an informed decision about purchasing stocks, you can refer to their report from November 1st:

https://www.earningswhispers.com/epsdetails/nclh

 

Regardless of the stock's performance, one enticing aspect is that shareholders receive this onboard credit bonus every time they go on a cruise.

 

🥴🤑😂 if you think NCL stock has a chance of going up to $60 in the next few years, you are the world’s biggest optimist. But seriously, good luck with that.

 

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47 minutes ago, yakcruiser said:

I almost bought some shares at $60 in January of 2020. I procrastinated as usual and then February happened. Long live procrastination.

 

We bought shortly thereafter at $28 per share.  Less than half price we thought at the time.  Ending up catching a falling knife as they say in the  stock market.  

 

Fortunately we bought a couple more times much lower.  Ended up averaging out where we could sell all of our holdings and make a small profit.  Have not bought any since but am considering.  

 

Now seems like a great time to buy some more NCLH stock.  But don't listen to me.  I am almost always wrong when it comes to picking stocks.

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6 minutes ago, seemoreroyals said:

Now seems like a great time to buy some more NCLH stock.  But don't listen to me.  I am almost always wrong when it comes to picking stocks.

 

Certainly not a bad time, if you're doing it for the perk. But buying it thinking it's going up 450% in the next 2 years is not "reasonable to anticipate" as the OP stated.

 

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51 minutes ago, laudergayle said:

Since buying 100 shares at $13 in summer 2022, we have accumulated $500 OBC…which is a 40% return.  Hmmmm🤔

Yup.  I’m one of the ones that bought pre-pandemic.  😢. Still showing a major loss, but I just added it up.  So far I’ve gotten $1700 in OBC from that initial investment.  I’ll continue to hold the stock, hope for a rebound, but in the meantime I’ll continue to enjoy that tax free dividend.  

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Regretting selling my shares.  Bought at $11.  I promised to sell when/if it hit $16.  It bounced around and while it did, I ended up with $500 OBC.  Nice ROI.  Sold my shares and have cr;used 2X since I sold.

 

I could have had another $200 OBC.

 

It’s the stock market.

 

C’est la vie!

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I Bought 200 shares in increments, mostly after the start of the pandemic.  100 for the OBC to hold on to and 100 to see sell down the road.  I know it will take time for them to pay off the debt incurred during the pandemic, but I didn't but it for the short term.  

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  • 5 weeks later...
On 11/2/2023 at 11:01 AM, sebastienbo said:

For those unfamiliar with the concept:

 

If you purchase 100 shares of NCL, you will receive either $100 or $250 onboard credit for every cruise you take.

 

To provide further information, you can visit this website:

https://www.nclhltd.com/investors/shareholder-benefits

 

Previously, the cost of 100 shares was quite high at $60 per share, totaling $6000.

However, due to the impact of COVID-19, the share price has dropped significantly to $13 per share, amounting to $1300 for 100 shares.

 

This decline in price can be attributed to the lack of income over the past two years and the substantial expenses incurred.

However, based on their projections for 2022 and 2023, NCL is expected to perform exceptionally well.

This quarter marks the final payment for their new ships, indicating that from January onwards, the stock will likely experience a significant increase as their income has consistently grown by 56% each year.

 

Considering these factors, it is reasonable to anticipate that the stock will rebound to $60 per share within two years. 

Just imagine if you were to invest $10,000 at the current low rate and sell it at $60 per share.

You would stand to make $45,000 in just two years.

 

To help you make an informed decision about purchasing stocks, you can refer to their report from November 1st:

https://www.earningswhispers.com/epsdetails/nclh

 

Regardless of the stock's performance, one enticing aspect is that shareholders receive this onboard credit bonus every time they go on a cruise.

 

 

I just wanted to say thanks for posting this.  We have a cruise leaving Orlando on the 9th of Dec and after running across this thread I bought in at ~14/share and quickly printed the shareholder request form and downloaded the trade confirmation 14 days before we were to sail (I just purchased the stock and my monthly brokerage statement showing the purchase wouldn't be available for a couple more weeks so I figured I would try sending in the trade confirmation).  This past Friday, 8 days before sailing we had (2) more 50$ OBC sitting in our account. And the stock is up over 16 now.  So 300$ for the win.  Sell!!!   Sell!!!

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Recently asked to pay gratuities up front (US travel agent said it was NCL policy). Wondered 'why'?

 

I really like this idea of a share purchase but when you started dicsussing NCL 'finances' I reflected on a call I had with an agent (I'd called NCL directly, then my Canadian travel agent then USA travel agent - because Cruise Next was in US $). Booked through US agent until he said "price you see, plus taxes and port charge (fine) plus...prepaid gratuities. The latter was new - so many things can happen. You cancel, for whatever reason; this seems like Uber asking for a tip as soon as you get into the car.

 

Anyhow, the stock tip great. NCL finances, like any stock purchase, educate yourself. Have to wonder why gratuities requested months before saling and  (in our case) why are prepaid Cruise Next credits  so tough to apply??  (bought in $US - can't be applied to a future Canadian cruise purchase. Option to convert, etc..gonna happen. Black Friday pricing. Who knows..long process).

 

Many nice memories. We let our $$ for Covid cancelled cruises ride with the cruise line (to support them!) rather than ask for a refund. Sailed with NCL again using those fully paid for 2020 cruise $$. But lately ...

Edited by John E. Canuck
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Seems like most cruise lines offer the option of pre-paying gratuities these days.  It’s not mandatory.  We bought about 400 shares in March 2020 with a cost basis of $10.15 per share, without even knowing about the onboard credit. My annualized return is 13.38%. Would have been more if I had know about the shareholder benefit on our last 3 cruises, lol!  But fortunately learned before our 15 day Panama Canal cruise, so $250 OBC for the win!

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Thanks. Since the topic is about shares - I'll take that "pre-paying is optional" and chalk it up to a new TA at a very popular U.S. online agency. He was adament NCL required gratuities be paid up front. I'll go with the above and stick to our Canadian travel agent (who I never got to final pricing with due to a Cruise Next issue). Thank, again. Enjoy Panama Canal. The history of the endeavour is incredible . The onboard presentations, from retired 'pilots' to professors are fasinating.

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8 hours ago, John E. Canuck said:

Thanks. Since the topic is about shares - I'll take that "pre-paying is optional" and chalk it up to a new TA at a very popular U.S. online agency. He was adament NCL required gratuities be paid up front. I'll go with the above and stick to our Canadian travel agent (who I never got to final pricing with due to a Cruise Next issue). Thank, again. Enjoy Panama Canal. The history of the endeavour is incredible . The onboard presentations, from retired 'pilots' to professors are fasinating.

Just out of curiosity (as it does not apply to me), could the cruise next certificates have been purchased in Canadian dollars? Did you ask?

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When we bought them at the Cruise Next counter, onboard, we didn't ask if they could be in our home (Canadian) currency.  They were attached to our onboard account ( which is always in $US, to my knowledge ) - so not much choice there.  I don't forsee ever being at tha Cruise Next counter again, but will ask if I am. 

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15 hours ago, John E. Canuck said:

Recently asked to pay gratuities up front (US travel agent said it was NCL policy). Wondered 'why'?

Quick answer is that people want to leave the ship without a big bill.  It isn't mandatory.  Even though I get $200 OBC, between casino and shareholder benefit, I try to prepay as much as possible.  Worst case, I'll run to the duty free on the last night and buy a couple bottles of Champagne 🙂

 

FWIW, this has nothing to do with the shareholder OBC, which cannot be applied to DSC.  

Edited by phillygwm
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